Appendix

1. Demand & Supply Balance This Winter

		Gross Output Across the 10 Companies
Peak Load	mkW	151.62
Supply Capability	mkW	180.00
Marginal Supply Capability	mkW	28.37
Marginal Supply Capability Ratio	%	18.7
Expected Peak Load Month		January

2. Winter Season Peak Load Trends (Gross Output Across the 10 Companies)

(Reference 1)

Air Conditioner & Electric Carpet Installations

(Reference 2)

Winter Load Sensitivity and Temperature Trends

• Load Sensitivity to Temperature in 1997 was 1.7 mkW/C
• Load sensitivity to temperature has increased by an average of eighty thousand kW each year for the last 9 years.

(Reference 3)

Forecast of Temperature for the next three months (November, December, January)

<Comments on Temperature Forecasts>
Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate that the probability that temperatures this winter will be as low as in an average year is 50%; lower than average is 30% .