Reference 1

6 June 2000

The Federation of Electric Power Companies

Forecast of Electricity Demand for this Summer

1. Forecasts of Peak Load & Supply during the summer 1999(Gross Output across the 10 Companies)

Peak Load (A) mkW

176.66

Supply Capability (B) mkW

198.53

Marginal Supply Capability (C) =(B)-(A) mkW

21.87

Marginal Supply Capability Ratio (D)=(C)/(A) %

12.4

Results of Peak Load in recent Years(Gross Output across the 10 Companies)


1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

Recorded Date

4 September
25€ August
4€ August
25€ August
2€ August
2€ September
3€ August
4€ August

Peak Load(mkW)

153.79

144.74

167.36

171.13

167.55

167.83

168.32

168.66

Inrease compared to previous year(mkW)

4.75

-9.05

22.62

3.77

-3.58

0.28

0.49

0.34

Increase rate(%)

3.2

-5.9

15.6

2.3

-2.1

0.2

0.3

0.2


(Record High)

Trend of Peak Load(Gross Output across the 10 companies)

(Reference)
Load Sensitivity to Temperature

1C increase in temperature brings about a 5 million kW rise in electricity demand in summer, which equivalent to the electricity consumed in 1.6 million households , or the electricity generated at 5 large scale power plants.

1999 (across the ten companies)
4.9mkW/C

*

"Load Sensibility to Temperature" explains correlation between temperature and peak load, and is volume of maximum power increased by every 1C.

2. Trend of Shipment of Air Conditioners(Source: Refrigeration & Air Conditioning Industries Association))

(1) Room Air Conditioner

(2) Package Air Conditioner

3. Major New Power Plant Operations Begun since September 1999or will be operational


Company
Power Plant Name
unit
Output(mkW)
Start Month, Year
Remarks

Hydro Power Plant

Tokyo Electric Power Company

Katsunogawa

No.1
0.40
December€ 1999


No.2
0.40
June€ 2000


Thermal Power Plant

Tokyo Electric Power Company

Chiba

No.1-1
0.36
April€ 2000


No.1-2
0.36
October€ 1999


No.2-3
0.36
January€ 2000


No.2-4
0.36
June€ 2000


Yokohama

No.1
0.175
March€ 2000

Decommissioned

No.2
0.175
March€ 2000

Decommissioned

No.3
0.175
March€ 2000

Decommissioned

Shikoku Electric Power Company

Tachibana Bay


0.70
June€ 2000


Electric Power Development

Tachibana Bay

No.1
1.05
July€ 2000

scheduled

Thermal Power Plant(IPP)

Tokyo Electric Power Company

Hitachi, Ltd.

1.03
June€ 2000


Tohoku Electric Power Company

Nippon Steel Corporation, Kamaishi Thermal

1.36
July€ 2000

scheduled

Chubu Electric Power Company

Akemi Electric Power, Ltd. Toyohashi Power Station

1.35
April€ 2000

contracted Electricity

Nakayama Nagoya Cooporative Power

1.36
April€ 2000

contracted Electricity

Total(figures of Decommissioned plants & IPPs are included)

3.84

<Reference>
Kii Suidou DC Interconnection Facility

Transmission Capacity

1.4mkW

Route

From Kihoku AC/DC Converter Station (Ido-gun, Wakayama Pref.) to Anan AC/DC Converter Station (Anan City, Tokushima Pref.)

Length

99.8 Km

(overhead cable 50.9 km, underground & submarine cable 48.9 km)

Start Month, Year

June€ 2000